Orioles hire Showalter as manager

Baseball Betting Lines

07/29/2010 - Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Baltimore Orioles have hired Buck Showalter to be their next manager.

A press conference is scheduled for Monday and Showalter is expected to assume his role as manager on August 3 to begin a seven-game homestand against the Angels. Showalter had been working as a baseball analyst for ESPN.

Juan Samuel has been guiding the team on an interim basis since Dave Trembley was fired back on June 4. Baltimore had the worst record in the majors at 15-39 at the time of Trembley's ouster, and, at 31-70, remains in that role.

Samuel has gone 16-31 at the helm since taking over, while Trembley had a record of 187-283 in nearly three full seasons as Orioles skipper.

The 54-year-old Showalter previously managed the Yankees from 1992-1995, then with the Diamondbacks from 1998-2000 and also the Texas Rangers from 2003-06. He was named AL Manager of the Year in 1994 and again 10 years later. His overall record stands at 882-833 (.514).

Showalter has come to be known as a franchise re-builder of sorts, leading a distressed Yankee team back to prominence and a playoff berth in 1995 following a 14-year absence from the postseason.

New York went on to win the World Series in 1996 a year after Showalter left the team, in part because of a bruised relationship with the late great Yankees owner George Steinbrenner.

Showalter took Arizona to the playoffs in just its second year out of expansion with a 100-win season and an NL West division title in 1999, but was fired following the 2000 season. The Diamondbacks also won the World Series a year after Showalter left.

He was again let go in 2006 by the Rangers after four years on the job. Texas had finished in last place in the AL West in 2002, the year before Showalter took the job. He never led the team to better than a third-place finish in the division.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

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In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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